Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +2 (81-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cash | 37 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | - |
| S. Bird | 37 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| C. Little | 36 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 9 | - |
| K. Smith | 33 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| L. Willingham | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| A. Robinson | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Snell | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Kobryn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 35 | 7-21 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 33 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| P. Taylor | 26 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| N. Sanford | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Johnson | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Swanier | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter