Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.2% | 19.8% | -7.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +2 (81-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sue Bird * | 37 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 37 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 35 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Katie Smith * | 32 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Ashley Robinson * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 27 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Belinda Snell | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ewelina Kobryn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Allie Quigley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 35 | 7-21 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Candice Dupree * | 33 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Marie Ferdinand-Harris | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Alexis Gray-Lawson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter