Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -5 (79-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Harding * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 35 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 30 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Coco Miller | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alison Bales | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 10 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 29 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 26 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Candace Parker | 26 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 23 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter