Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.9% | 45.1% | -1.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. de Souza | 35 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| L. Harding | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| A. Herrington | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 30 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| I. Castro | 11 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| C. Miller | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Bales | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Paris | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Penicheiro | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 29 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 8 | - |
| T. Thompson | 26 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| C. Parker | 26 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| N. Lacy | 23 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| N. Quinn | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Lavender | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 14 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Toliver | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter