Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +28 (82-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 29 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Andrea Riley * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Liz Cambage | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Amber Holt | 21 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Abi Olajuwon | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Betty Lennox | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Whalen * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 22 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 21 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Monica Wright | 19 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Amber Harris | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jessica Adair | 14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Charde Houston | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter