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2011-08-13

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 53.0% 47.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% - โœ“
Margin 46.5% 53.5% +0.8 โœ— (29.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 61.6% 38.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 61.8% 38.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.6% 51.4% - โœ—

Actual: Seattle Storm -29 (63-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lindsey Harding * 25 6-8 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 0 12 13 -
Erika de Souza * 23 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 8 7 -
Armintie Herrington * 21 5-7 0-0 0-2 1 4 1 0 3 10 6 -
Angel McCoughtry * 20 7-13 0-1 3-4 6 3 1 1 4 17 11 -
Sancho Lyttle * 15 4-7 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 10 9 -
Iziane Castro Marques 26 7-11 1-2 2-3 3 1 0 0 1 17 9 -
Coco Miller 22 2-4 1-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 7 6 -
Alison Bales 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
Courtney Paris 16 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 0 0 3 7 -
Sandora Irvin 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Swin Cash * 30 5-12 1-5 3-4 2 0 0 1 3 14 2 -
Ashley Robinson * 28 2-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 2 2 5 7 -
Sue Bird * 27 4-9 0-2 2-2 1 3 2 1 3 10 5 -
Tanisha Wright * 26 3-5 1-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 4 9 3 -
Camille Smith * 16 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
Katie Smith 28 6-11 2-2 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 15 5 -
Le'coe Willingham 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 2 -3 -
Belinda Snell 10 0-3 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Ewelina Kobryn 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
Allie Quigley 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter