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2011-08-13

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 58.1% 41.9% -
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% -
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 (31.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -

Actual: Seattle Storm -29 (63-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 26 6-8 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 0 12 13 -
I. Castro 26 7-11 1-2 2-3 3 1 0 0 1 17 9 -
E. de Souza 24 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 8 7 -
A. Bales 23 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
C. Miller 23 2-4 1-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 7 6 -
A. Herrington 22 5-7 0-0 0-2 1 4 1 0 3 10 6 -
A. McCoughtry 21 7-13 0-1 3-4 6 3 1 1 4 17 11 -
C. Paris 16 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 0 0 3 7 -
S. Lyttle 15 4-7 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 10 9 -
S. Irvin 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Cash 30 5-12 1-5 3-4 2 0 0 1 3 14 2 -
A. Robinson 29 2-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 2 2 5 7 -
S. Bird 28 4-9 0-2 2-2 1 3 2 1 3 10 5 -
K. Smith 28 6-11 2-2 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 15 5 -
T. Wright 27 3-5 1-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 4 9 3 -
L. Willingham 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 2 -3 -
C. Little 16 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
B. Snell 10 0-3 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
E. Kobryn 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
A. Quigley 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter