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2011-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 61.7% 38.3% -
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 62.5% 37.5% -
Efficiency 81.5% 18.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 69.5% 30.5% -
Log Adjusted 69.3% 30.7% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -4 (91-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Foster * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 2 2 27 37 -
E. Roquemore * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 30 36 -
T. Payne * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 0 12 22 -
B. Dowdell * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 11 16 -
M. Trasolini * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 6 11 -
N. Harrison 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 0 5 -
M. Santos 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 8 -
R. Cowels III 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 8 -
J. McArthur 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Doolin * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 10 3 0 3 18 31 -
A. Caloiaro * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 3 0 0 2 21 34 -
P. Blackwell * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 2 8 17 -
M. Williams * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 12 -
R. Green * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 19 24 -
A. Johnson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 7 10 -
M. Petrovic 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Diarra 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 8 9 -
C. Dickerson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter