Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +3 (93-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 38 | 9-16 | 5-9 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 22 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| C. Dupree | 35 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| D. Bonner | 32 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Johnson | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| N. Sanford | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Swanier | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 15 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lavender | 39 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 17 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| N. Quinn | 33 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| N. Lacy | 33 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 28 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Thompson | 21 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. O'Hea | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Sanders | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter