Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +5 (85-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 36 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| L. Whalen | 33 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| S. Augustus | 33 | 11-18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 13 | - |
| R. Brunson | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| M. Moore | 30 | 8-12 | 6-6 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 26 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 16 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Houston | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Adair | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Wright | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 31 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 17 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 29 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 27 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 5-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| T. Johnson | 25 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 17 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| N. Sanford | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Swanier | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Spencer | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter