Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.3% | 71.7% | +5.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +13 (81-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 35 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell * | 25 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ruth Riley * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Porsha Phillips | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 32 | 7-13 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 30 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 15 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter