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2011-08-07

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% - โœ“
Margin 26.2% 73.8% +5.7 โœ“ (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 32.2% 67.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Dream +17 (70-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Swin Cash * 31 5-11 0-3 6-7 3 1 2 1 5 16 7 -
Camille Smith * 25 4-14 0-1 1-4 5 1 1 0 4 9 -2 -
Ashley Robinson * 25 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 2 4 5 -
Tanisha Wright * 25 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 6 4 1 -
Sue Bird * 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 6 2 -3 -
Katie Smith 25 4-8 3-5 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 11 10 -
Le'coe Willingham 22 2-4 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 3 6 2 -
Belinda Snell 9 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 -
Ewelina Kobryn 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
Allie Quigley 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lindsey Harding * 36 4-11 0-2 1-1 2 7 2 0 5 9 4 -
Erika de Souza * 28 6-10 0-0 1-1 7 1 2 1 1 13 13 -
Angel McCoughtry * 27 7-20 0-2 3-5 3 0 1 0 3 17 -2 -
Sancho Lyttle * 25 3-8 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 1 3 6 7 -
Armintie Herrington * 15 3-4 0-0 2-4 1 4 3 0 0 8 12 -
Coco Miller 27 4-8 1-1 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
Alison Bales 13 2-4 0-1 1-2 4 1 0 1 0 5 7 -
Iziane Castro Marques 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 0 -4 -
Courtney Paris 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
Sandora Irvin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter