Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -1 (95-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 42 | 11-24 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 19 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 37 | 8-19 | 5-12 | 7-8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 11 | - |
| K. Greene | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Jones | 31 | 13-18 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 15 | - |
| K. Lawson | 29 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. White | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Griffin | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| A. Hightower | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Moore | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. McCray | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 38 | 7-23 | 5-13 | 10-10 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| P. Taylor | 37 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| C. Dupree | 37 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| T. Johnson | 33 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Bonner | 32 | 8-20 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 19 | - |
| N. Sanford | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Swanier | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| O. Sanni | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter