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2011-08-03

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 48.8% 51.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% - โœ—
Margin 30.0% 70.0% +4.7 โœ— (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.9% 54.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 41.9% 58.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 41.9% 58.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.1% 59.9% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -9 (70-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tina Charles * 36 8-12 0-0 4-6 13 2 0 0 0 20 23 -
Asjha Jones * 30 6-11 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 12 2 -
Kalana Greene * 29 2-7 0-3 3-4 2 1 0 0 2 7 1 -
Renee Montgomery * 25 5-10 4-6 2-2 1 6 1 0 3 16 11 -
Danielle McCray * 21 3-8 0-4 0-0 7 2 2 0 1 6 8 -
Tan White 22 2-4 1-1 4-8 5 1 3 0 1 9 13 -
Kara Lawson 16 0-6 0-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 -
Kelsey Griffin 9 3-4 0-0 1-1 3 0 1 0 1 7 6 -
Jessica Moore 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Allison Hightower 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Noelle Quinn * 28 4-10 0-1 0-0 3 4 2 1 1 8 7 -
Tina Thompson * 28 5-13 3-5 0-0 8 3 1 0 2 13 10 -
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 27 6-9 2-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 14 8 -
Ebony Hoffman * 26 5-13 1-2 2-2 4 1 1 1 4 13 3 -
Kristi Toliver * 19 2-13 0-7 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 4 -1 -
Ticha Penicheiro 21 0-1 0-0 2-2 7 5 0 0 3 2 10 -
Jenna O'Hea 18 3-5 1-3 1-1 1 1 0 0 2 8 3 -
LaToya Sanders 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
Jantel Lavender 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 6 5 -
Natasha Lacy 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 2 0 1 1 0 3 -

* = starter