🐻⬇️🏀

SMU Mustangs 57
@
Northern Iowa Panthers 50
2011-03-21

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 71.9% 28.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% - ✗
Margin 42.7% 57.3% +1.6 ✗ (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% - ✗
Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 19.8% 80.2% - ✗

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -7 (50-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Dia * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 21 1 0 2 4 17 37 -
C. Mangrum * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 11 16 -
M. Walker * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 7 10 -
J. Samarrippas * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 5 6 -
R. Nyakundi * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 11 15 -
R. Harp 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Haynes 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 3 -
A. Patsevich 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 3 5 -
R. Clinkscales 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Moran * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 5 9 -
K. Ahelegbe * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 18 21 -
A. James * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 6 12 -
J. Koch * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 11 14 -
A. Pehl * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
M. Sonnen 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 2 11 -
K. Dunham 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
C. Rank 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 7 -
T. Lange 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Morrison 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter