Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -10 (75-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plenette Pierson * | 34 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 33 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 31 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 26 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 24 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Quanitra Hollingsworth | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Essence Carson | 12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ta'Shia Phillips | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Harding * | 34 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Alison Bales * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 16 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 26 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Coco Miller | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sandora Irvin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter