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2011-08-02

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% -
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% -
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream -10 (75-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Pierson 35 9-16 0-1 2-3 8 3 1 2 2 20 16 -
L. Mitchell 33 4-6 4-6 0-0 3 6 1 0 4 12 12 -
N. Powell 32 4-9 3-5 2-2 6 1 1 0 3 13 9 -
C. Pondexter 26 6-10 2-4 2-2 5 5 0 2 1 16 17 -
K. Vaughn 24 3-13 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 0 2 7 -2 -
Q. Hollingsworth 18 2-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 3 5 6 -
E. Carson 13 3-8 2-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
A. Montgomery 9 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 3 2 0 1 2 6 -
S. Colson 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
T. Phillips 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 34 6-15 0-1 2-2 3 9 1 1 3 14 10 -
E. de Souza 32 5-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 11 8 -
A. Herrington 29 2-4 0-0 0-4 6 1 4 0 1 4 10 -
A. McCoughtry 26 8-18 0-1 8-12 6 1 3 0 4 24 12 -
S. Lyttle 20 3-7 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 8 5 -
A. Bales 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 1 0 4 7 -
I. Castro 17 2-8 0-4 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 4 -4 -
C. Miller 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 4 -1 -
C. Paris 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Irvin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter