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2011-08-02

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 43.2% 56.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% - โœ—
Margin 54.3% 45.7% -0.9 โœ— (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 67.9% 32.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 52.5% 47.5% - โœ—

Actual: Seattle Storm +14 (78-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 33 4-15 0-0 2-6 5 2 5 1 2 10 6 -
Becky Hammon * 31 5-7 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 11 6 -
Ruth Riley * 24 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 6 4 -
Scholanda Dorrell * 20 4-10 2-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 12 4 -
Tully Bevilaqua * 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 0 1 -
Jia Perkins 25 3-8 2-3 2-2 4 2 1 1 1 10 9 -
Danielle Robinson 18 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 2 -3 -
Jayne Appel Marinelli 14 3-5 0-0 1-3 3 2 0 0 1 7 6 -
Roneeka Hodges 9 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
Porsha Phillips 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 4 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 35 6-11 3-5 2-2 3 5 1 0 4 17 11 -
Tanisha Wright * 33 5-6 0-0 2-2 3 7 3 0 3 12 16 -
Swin Cash * 31 7-10 0-3 2-2 9 2 0 1 2 16 16 -
Camille Smith * 27 3-9 0-2 4-4 7 1 1 1 4 10 7 -
Ashley Robinson * 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 1 4 5 -
Katie Smith 24 4-6 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 10 8 -
Le'coe Willingham 20 3-8 1-2 2-4 7 1 1 1 1 9 10 -
Ewelina Kobryn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Belinda Snell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Allie Quigley 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter