Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +9.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +17 (90-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 34 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| C. Dupree | 34 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 27 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 6 | - |
| T. Johnson | 23 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Bonner | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| N. Sanford | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Swanier | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 14 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| O. Sanni | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 35 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| S. Augustus | 31 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| L. Whalen | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 19 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Houston | 17 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Adair | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| R. Brunson | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter