Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Kansas Jayhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 99.2% | 0.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +14 (73-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis * | 39 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| D. McCamey * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Tisdale * | 35 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| B. Paul * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Cole * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 31 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| C. Head | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Griffey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Leonard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Kansas Jayhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Morningstar * | 35 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Morris Sr. * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 15 | - |
| T. Reed * | 32 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Morris * | 31 | 10-13 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 22 | - |
| T. Taylor * | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| E. Johnson | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Robinson | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Selby | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Little | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Releford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter