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2011-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 16.5% 83.5% -
Bradley-Terry 39.3% 60.7% -
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.2% 44.8% -
Efficiency 81.9% 18.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% -
Log Adjusted 71.4% 28.6% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -3 (76-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ragland * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 3 1 3 13 21 -
T. Murry * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 2 0 3 15 25 -
G. Hatch * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 14 19 -
J.T. Durley * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 10 16 -
G. Blair * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 4 0 3 0 6 23 -
A. Ellis 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
D. Kyles 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 3 5 -
G. Stutz 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 11 11 -
B. Smith 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
D. Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Delaney * 43 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 4 1 4 30 39 -
E. Green * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 3 0 5 17 19 -
T. Bell * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 2 1 6 13 -
V. Davila * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 1 5 10 -
J. Allen * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 10 17 -
M. Atkins 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 8 14 -
P. Debnam 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Garland 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter