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2011-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 69.1% 30.9% -
Bradley-Terry 2.7% 97.3% -
Margin 56.7% 43.3% -1.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Efficiency 7.7% 92.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.6% 77.4% -
Log Adjusted 22.7% 77.3% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns -1 (69-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jacobson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Fogg * 30 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 4 0 1 2 5 9 -
D. Williams * 29 4-14 0-3 9-15 9 3 3 0 4 17 14 -
S. Hill * 28 7-12 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 0 2 16 13 -
J. Perry * 24 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 1 1 4 5 -
L. Jones * 21 0-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Mayes 19 6-7 4-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 16 13 -
K. Natyazhko 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Parrom 15 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Horne 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
B. Lavender 7 2-2 2-2 2-3 1 1 0 0 0 8 8 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Thompson * 36 1-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 4 2 3 8 -
G. Johnson * 35 6-9 0-0 2-3 6 2 0 0 1 14 12 -
J. Hamilton * 34 7-18 3-7 1-2 6 1 2 2 3 18 8 -
C. Joseph * 34 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 3 6 4 -
D. Balbay * 20 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 0 0 3 8 -
J. Brown 25 5-13 0-3 13-13 3 3 1 1 2 23 16 -
A. Wangmene 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Hill 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Lucas 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter