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2011-03-20

Model Predictions

Model George Mason Patriots Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 14.0% 86.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.6% 77.4% - โœ“
Margin 5.6% 94.4% +15.5 โœ“ (16.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.7% 97.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.5% 97.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.9% 79.1% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +32 (98-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cameron Long * 29 5-7 4-6 2-3 6 2 0 0 7 16 10 -
Ryan Pearson * 28 4-10 1-1 4-4 5 4 2 0 1 13 13 -
Isaiah Tate * 28 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 1 -
Andre Cornelius * 27 3-7 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 8 2 -
Michael Morrison * 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 2 6 5 -
Johnny Williams 21 3-9 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 6 -1 -
Vertrail Vaughns 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
Paris Bennett 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Bryon Allen 11 3-7 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 -1 -
Rashad Whack 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 3 3 -
Jonathan Arledge 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 5 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jon Diebler * 36 4-9 4-8 1-1 3 2 1 1 0 13 11 -
David Lighty * 30 9-10 7-7 0-2 4 3 0 0 1 25 21 -
William Buford * 29 7-14 4-7 0-0 5 2 2 0 2 18 11 -
Jared Sullinger * 22 7-10 0-0 4-6 8 0 1 0 3 18 14 -
Dallas Lauderdale * 21 3-4 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
Aaron Craft 34 2-3 0-0 2-2 6 15 2 0 2 6 24 -
Deshaun Thomas 13 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 1 -
Jordan Sibert 8 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
L. Smith Jr. 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 -
Eddie Days 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter