Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Huskies | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.3% | 90.7% | +12.6 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +3 (86-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Thomas * | 33 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Matthew Bryan-Amaning * | 29 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Justin Holiday * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Aziz N'Diaye * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Scott Suggs * | 17 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 24 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Darnell Gant | 23 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C.J. Wilcox | 19 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Venoy Overton | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Marshall * | 37 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 9-19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 7 | - |
| John Henson * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Dexter Strickland * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Leslie McDonald | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Justin Knox | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Watts | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter