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Washington Huskies 83
@
North Carolina Tar Heels 86
2011-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 23.9% 76.1% - ✓
Margin 9.3% 90.7% +12.6 ✓ (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% - ✓
Efficiency 70.8% 29.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 37.8% 62.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 38.5% 61.5% - ✓

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +3 (86-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Thomas * 33 5-15 0-2 2-2 2 8 2 0 3 12 6 -
M. Bryan-Amaning * 29 7-14 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 1 2 14 10 -
J. Holiday * 23 2-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 4 -3 -
A. N'Diaye * 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 0 0 4 13 -
S. Suggs * 17 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 3 -
T. Ross 24 7-10 3-5 2-2 6 0 1 1 3 19 14 -
D. Gant 23 2-6 2-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 6 8 -
C. Wilcox 19 4-9 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 11 5 -
V. Overton 12 1-3 0-0 3-3 1 2 1 0 1 5 5 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Marshall * 37 3-6 1-2 6-7 5 14 0 0 4 13 22 -
H. Barnes * 36 9-19 4-7 0-0 2 2 3 0 3 22 7 -
J. Henson * 36 4-12 0-0 2-5 10 0 2 4 1 10 13 -
T. Zeller * 33 8-14 0-0 7-7 5 0 2 1 1 23 16 -
D. Strickland * 29 5-8 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 0 0 13 12 -
L. McDonald 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
J. Knox 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Watts 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter