Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hardy * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| R. Powell * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| D. Graham * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| T. Galvin * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| T. Cohn * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 23 | - |
| K. McDougald | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| G. Powell | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| A. Cabell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| S. Jeffers | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Palmer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Walker * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Papa Dia * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 35 | - |
| Jeremiah Samarrippas * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Collin Mangrum * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Robert Nyakundi * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Harp | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Justin Haynes | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Aliaksei Patsevich | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Rodney Clinkscales | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter