Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.2% | 84.8% | +9.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +13 (88-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 29 | - |
| Todd Fletcher | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Evan Washington | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Derek Brooks | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Zach Bohannon | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tom Fow | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Taylor Stewart | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Adam Brakeville | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Foster | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 41 | - |
| Evan Roquemore | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Marc Trasolini | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 30 | - |
| Ben Dowdell | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Troy Payne | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Raymond Cowels | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Niyi Harrison | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Michael Santos | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| John McArthur | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter