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2011-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 2.8% 97.2% -
Bradley-Terry 17.9% 82.1% -
Margin 15.2% 84.8% +9.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% -
Log Adjusted 47.8% 52.2% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +13 (88-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lyons 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 24 29 -
T. Fletcher 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 3 0 2 -
M. Fitzgerald 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 6 13 -
E. Washington 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 12 16 -
D. Brooks 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 14 17 -
Z. Bohannon 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 5 7 -
T. Fow 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 9 10 -
T. Broekhuis 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 5 3 -
S. Hempsey 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Stewart 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Brakeville 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Foster 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 4 36 41 -
E. Roquemore 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 3 15 22 -
M. Trasolini 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 0 19 30 -
B. Dowdell 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 0 4 -
T. Payne 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 8 -
R. Cowels III 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 1 2 12 21 -
N. Harrison 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
M. Santos 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
J. McArthur 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter