Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.2% | 39.8% | -2.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -11 (62-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bertrand | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Selus | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Berardini | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Griffey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Davis * | 39 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| D. McCamey * | 35 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 9 | - |
| B. Paul * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| M. Tisdale * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Cole * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 16 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Head | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Leonard | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Martinez | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Norman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| O. Bellfield * | 36 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | - |
| C. Stanback * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A. Marshall * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Willis * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Q. Thomas * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Jasper | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Mashour | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Massamba | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter