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2011-03-18

Model Predictions

Model California Golden Bears Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 30.1% 69.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Margin 26.2% 73.8% +5.7 โœ“ (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +17 (89-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Allen Crabbe * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 4 9 10 -
Harper Kamp * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 14 22 -
Brandon Smith * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 11 16 -
Richard Solomon * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 6 13 -
Jorge Gutierrez * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 16 18 -
Bak Bak 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 0 2 9 19 -
Emerson Murray 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 8 -
Jeff Powers 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Nigel Carter 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Robert Thurman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Burks * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 0 0 25 36 -
M. Relphorde * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 7 14 -
C. Higgins * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 22 28 -
A. Dufault * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 7 14 -
N. Tomlinson * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
A. Roberson 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 1 1 5 15 -
L. Knutson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 10 12 -
S. Sharpe 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
J. Coney 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
B. Mills 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 2 8 -
T. Beckley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Eckloff 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter