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2011-03-18

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 12.3% 87.7% -
Bradley-Terry 89.7% 10.3% -
Margin 11.7% 88.3% +11.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 32.7% 67.3% -
Efficiency 66.7% 33.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.2% 96.8% -
Log Adjusted 3.2% 96.8% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Barton * 35 6-11 3-4 2-3 4 1 0 0 2 17 9 -
W. Barton * 34 6-14 0-4 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 12 7 -
C. Crawford * 26 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 6 3 0 0 6 11 -
C. Carmouche * 15 1-2 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 1 2 6 7 -
T. Black * 13 2-5 0-0 1-1 0 1 1 0 1 5 1 -
W. Coleman 28 4-7 0-0 1-4 11 0 0 0 2 9 11 -
W. Witherspoon 28 3-5 1-2 3-4 3 2 0 0 1 10 9 -
J. Jackson 19 2-3 0-0 6-8 2 2 0 0 5 10 6 -
D. Stephens 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams * 36 6-11 1-1 9-9 10 0 0 1 3 22 19 -
S. Hill * 31 3-5 0-1 1-2 5 1 3 0 5 7 6 -
L. Jones * 30 5-10 1-2 7-8 2 0 1 0 1 18 10 -
K. Fogg * 23 1-5 0-4 2-2 0 2 0 0 2 4 -1 -
J. Perry * 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 0 1 -
J. Horne 19 3-6 1-4 2-4 4 3 0 0 0 9 10 -
K. Parrom 18 3-4 1-2 2-3 2 1 3 0 1 9 10 -
J. Mayes 14 2-2 1-1 3-3 1 1 0 0 0 8 8 -
B. Lavender 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Natyazhko 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter