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2011-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 43.8% 56.2% -
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% -
Margin 28.7% 71.3% +5.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% -
Efficiency 80.8% 19.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% -
Log Adjusted 45.7% 54.3% -

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +15 (78-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Denmon * 33 3-11 2-7 2-2 6 4 0 0 0 10 9 -
L. Bowers * 31 4-11 0-1 2-3 6 1 1 0 0 10 7 -
R. Ratliffe * 24 6-12 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 13 6 -
M. Dixon Jr. * 21 3-5 1-2 4-4 0 1 1 0 1 11 7 -
K. English * 19 1-5 0-3 1-2 2 0 0 1 2 3 -1 -
P. Pressey 24 3-9 1-2 0-2 5 5 5 0 1 7 12 -
J. Safford 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 1 -
R. Kreklow 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
M. Pressey 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Moore 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Gates * 35 7-8 2-2 2-6 11 1 0 1 0 18 23 -
C. Wright * 32 4-11 1-2 2-2 1 7 1 0 3 11 6 -
R. Bishop * 30 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 6 5 -
D. Dixon * 27 5-13 0-3 6-7 6 1 0 0 1 16 9 -
I. Thomas * 24 2-2 0-0 3-3 7 0 1 1 2 7 12 -
S. Kilpatrick 22 4-7 0-2 2-3 3 1 0 0 2 10 5 -
J. Jackson 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
L. Davis 9 1-3 0-1 1-1 0 2 0 0 1 3 1 -
D. Wilks 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
A. McClain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. McBride 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Eppensteiner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Tyree 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter