Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 4.7% | 95.3% | +16.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -1 (61-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Faried * | 37 | 4-17 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Demonte Harper * | 35 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Terrance Hill * | 34 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Ty Proffitt * | 34 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Drew Kelly * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sam Goodman | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Lamont Austin | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuric * | 38 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Chris Smith * | 28 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Terrence Jennings * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Peyton Siva * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Preston Knowles * | 23 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Elisha Justice | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Mike Marra | 23 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Stephan Van Treese | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter