Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.3% | 95.7% | +17.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +18 (68-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kaba * | 38 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Devon Beitzel * | 37 | 8-17 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Elliott Lloyd * | 36 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Taylor Montgomery * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Neal Kingman * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Mike Proctor | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Emmanuel Addo | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tate Unruh | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Paul Garnica | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Leonard * | 36 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| B. White * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| D.J. Gay * | 34 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 27 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Rahon | 21 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Shelton | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Franklin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter