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2011-03-16

Model Predictions

Model St. Bonaventure Bonnies UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 25.3% 74.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 โœ“ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.1% 83.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.8% 68.2% - โœ“

Actual: UCF Knights +15 (69-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Adegboye * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 3 13 20 -
A. Nicholson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 6 20 19 -
M. Davenport * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 3 0 1 2 10 -
D. Conger * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 3 7 -
D. Cook * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 6 13 -
M. Wright 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 9 -
M. Simmons 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
B. Roseboro 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. de Haas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Houseknecht 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Jordan * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 18 25 -
Keith Clanton * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 8 11 -
Dwight McCombs * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 4 9 -
Isaac Sosa * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
P.J. Gaynor * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 0 -1 -
A.J. Rompza 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 7 0 0 3 13 18 -
Isaiah Sykes 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 9 17 -
A.J. Tyler 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 5 10 -
Tom Herzog 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 10 11 -
Dave Diakite 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Jarvis Davis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Taylor Young 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dogukan Kuzucan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter