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2011-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Margin 6.4% 93.6% +14.7 โœ“ (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 46.1% 53.9% - โœ“

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gabe Rogers 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 15 21 -
Cameron Jones 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 4 0 3 18 27 -
Eric Platt 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 13 13 -
Stallon Saldivar 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 2 4 -
Shane Johannsen 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 9 18 -
Durrell Norman 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
Austin Smith 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 2 7 -
Julian Olubuyi 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
Josh Lepley 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Luis Flores 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Michael Dunn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Payne 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 2 18 27 -
Marc Trasolini 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 1 1 2 2 12 28 -
Ben Dowdell 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 5 9 -
Evan Roquemore 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 5 11 9 -
Kevin Foster 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 3 0 4 13 18 -
Michael Santos 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 2 8 -
Niyi Harrison 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 4 7 -
Raymond Cowels 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
John McArthur 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter