Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -7 (84-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 33 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 11-11 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 32 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Swanier | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| T. Johnson | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| N. Sanford | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Braxton | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| O. Sanni | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 37 | 4-19 | 1-8 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -2 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 31 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| N. Powell | 29 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| P. Pierson | 24 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| E. Carson | 24 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | -4 | - |
| Q. Hollingsworth | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Phillips | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter