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2011-07-29

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Minnesota Lynx Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“
Margin 12.2% 87.8% +10.8 โœ“ (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 15.2% 84.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 15.1% 84.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.9% 72.1% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Lynx +25 (92-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Swin Cash * 26 5-11 2-5 6-6 1 4 2 0 4 18 10 -
Sue Bird * 26 1-6 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 -1 -
Tanisha Wright * 23 1-2 1-1 3-4 1 4 3 0 3 6 9 -
Ashley Robinson * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 3 2 3 -
Camille Smith * 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
Le'coe Willingham 26 7-12 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 14 5 -
Ewelina Kobryn 25 4-7 0-1 1-2 9 2 1 1 0 9 15 -
Katie Smith 23 1-6 0-2 4-4 1 3 1 1 2 6 4 -
Belinda Snell 19 1-4 0-2 4-4 3 2 0 1 2 6 6 -
Krystal Thomas 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 2 5 -

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rebekkah Brunson * 26 2-8 0-0 4-6 3 3 2 0 1 8 7 -
Seimone Augustus * 26 8-10 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 16 14 -
Maya Moore * 24 4-7 1-2 3-3 2 6 2 0 1 12 14 -
Lindsay Whalen * 23 3-9 1-1 2-2 4 4 0 0 3 9 5 -
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 20 5-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 10 5 -
Candice Wiggins 26 5-9 5-8 1-2 2 5 2 1 2 16 15 -
Amber Harris 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
Alexis Hornbuckle 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 0 -1 -
Jessica Adair 11 3-5 0-0 2-3 3 1 1 0 0 8 8 -
Charde Houston 9 4-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 9 6 -

* = starter