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2011-07-28

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury San Antonio Silver Stars Spread Result
Elo 42.2% 57.8% -
Bradley-Terry 44.3% 55.7% -
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -

Actual: San Antonio Silver Stars +11 (102-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Dupree 34 6-8 0-0 5-6 14 2 0 2 3 17 24 -
P. Taylor 29 3-10 1-4 4-4 3 5 1 0 2 11 8 -
D. Taurasi 29 7-11 2-4 11-11 2 4 0 1 6 27 17 -
D. Bonner 26 1-4 0-2 5-6 5 1 2 1 2 7 10 -
T. Johnson 25 2-6 1-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 5 4 -
K. Braxton 20 4-6 0-0 3-3 4 1 1 0 2 11 9 -
K. Swanier 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 2 -
M. Ferdinand-Harris 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -2 -
N. Sanford 11 1-3 0-0 7-8 4 0 1 0 0 9 11 -

San Antonio Silver Stars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Young-Malcolm 33 3-14 0-1 3-6 6 5 1 0 1 9 6 -
B. Hammon 32 10-15 7-10 6-6 4 7 2 0 5 33 26 -
D. Robinson 24 3-5 0-0 5-5 3 8 0 0 0 11 17 -
J. Perkins 23 6-13 2-5 0-1 0 3 4 0 0 14 8 -
S. Dorrell 21 4-8 2-4 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 11 7 -
J. Appel-Marinelli 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 1 4 10 -
R. Riley 19 4-7 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 9 6 -
T. Bevilaqua 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 4 -
P. Phillips 8 1-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -
R. Hodges 5 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -

* = starter