Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -11 (66-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 34 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 23 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 31 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. Greene | 30 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Jones | 30 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| K. Lawson | 26 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. McCray | 21 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. White | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Moore | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Griffin | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 33 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 29 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| T. Young | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Snow | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Murphy | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| L. Wisdom-Hylton | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Thorn | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -4 | - |
| C. Swords | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter