Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +4.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -6 (77-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bird | 34 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| S. Cash | 32 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Little | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| K. Smith | 25 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Robinson | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. Wright | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| L. Willingham | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| E. Kobryn | 10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Snell | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 34 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 21 | - |
| P. Taylor | 30 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 25 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Johnson | 24 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Braxton | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 16 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Sanford | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Swanier | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| O. Sanni | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter