Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +13 (85-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebony Hoffman * | 34 | 10-11 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 33 | 9-14 | 4-6 | 6-9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 11 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 23 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| LaToya Sanders | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seimone Augustus * | 32 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 4 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 31 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 28 | 8-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jessica Adair | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Charde Houston | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Monica Wright | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter