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2011-07-26

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Tulsa Shock Spread Result
Elo 91.2% 8.8% -
Bradley-Terry 87.8% 12.2% -
Margin 85.7% 14.3% -9.9 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 84.3% 15.7% -

Actual: Tulsa Shock -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. McCoughtry 36 11-22 0-1 15-19 4 1 3 2 7 37 18 -
A. Bales 28 0-4 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 4 1 0 9 -
L. Harding 27 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 5 4 -
A. Herrington 21 2-5 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 0 3 8 4 -
S. Irvin 19 0-1 0-0 0-4 6 0 0 1 0 0 6 -
I. Castro 18 1-5 0-0 1-2 2 2 2 0 0 3 4 -
C. Paris 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
S. Lehning 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 3 0 0 3 1 1 -
C. Miller 12 6-11 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 12 2 -
E. de Souza 11 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 4 -

Tulsa Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jackson-Jones 39 4-11 0-0 3-4 17 3 2 0 2 11 20 -
S. Swoopes 34 4-9 2-3 2-2 5 3 2 1 3 12 11 -
I. Latta 28 4-13 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 9 -1 -
A. Holt 22 3-6 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 8 5 -
J. Lacy 22 3-5 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 1 2 7 5 -
L. Cambage 20 4-10 0-0 8-10 5 0 1 2 2 16 12 -
K. Pedersen 14 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 2 -1 -
A. Riley 12 0-3 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 2 1 -1 -
B. Lennox 9 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 -

* = starter