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2011-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% -
Bradley-Terry 59.4% 40.6% -
Margin 42.0% 58.0% +1.8 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% -
Log Adjusted 72.0% 28.0% -

Actual: Florida Gators -16 (54-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Miller * 37 6-8 2-3 1-1 6 1 0 2 1 15 15 -
B. Knight * 37 5-14 2-6 5-6 1 4 1 0 2 17 7 -
T. Jones * 34 4-10 1-1 7-8 7 0 1 3 0 16 17 -
J. Harrellson * 29 2-5 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 0 4 10 -
D. Liggins * 27 1-5 1-1 7-8 5 3 2 1 2 10 14 -
D. Lamb 23 2-6 0-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 6 0 -
E. Vargas 10 0-0 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 0 0 2 7 -
J. Polson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Poole, Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Parsons * 37 4-12 0-4 1-2 10 1 0 0 2 9 6 -
K. Boynton * 34 4-16 2-6 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 10 -1 -
V. Macklin * 28 3-5 0-0 1-3 2 2 0 1 5 7 2 -
E. Walker * 27 3-10 2-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 8 0 -
A. Tyus * 24 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 5 4 -
S. Wilbekin 20 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 8 8 -
P. Young 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 0 4 8 -
E. Murphy 10 1-2 1-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
C. Prather 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter