Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.0% | 27.0% | -5.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -7 (79-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry | 37 | 10-18 | 2-3 | 11-17 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 21 | - |
| A. Herrington | 37 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Bales | 36 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| L. Harding | 35 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| S. Irvin | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| E. de Souza | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| I. Castro | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Lehning | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Langhorne | 37 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 23 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 37 | 5-17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -1 | - |
| M. Coleman | 32 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 5 | - |
| N. Anosike | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16 | - |
| K. Miller | 28 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 20 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| K. Gardin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| V. Dunlap | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Phillips | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter