Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -8 (98-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Augustus | 35 | 11-15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| L. Whalen | 32 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| M. Moore | 31 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| R. Brunson | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 15 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Houston | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Adair | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Wright | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 12-14 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - |
| C. Dupree | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 29 | 8-10 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| T. Johnson | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K. Braxton | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Bonner | 18 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Sanford | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter