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2011-07-19

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 45.9% 54.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% -
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.1 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun +6 (85-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 35 7-16 1-4 1-1 4 6 0 0 4 16 6 -
P. Pierson 35 6-12 2-2 4-4 5 1 0 1 4 18 9 -
N. Powell 31 6-14 2-8 0-0 11 5 0 1 3 14 14 -
K. Vaughn 27 4-7 0-0 2-2 9 1 1 0 2 10 12 -
E. Carson 25 5-10 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 11 4 -
L. Mitchell 22 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Q. Hollingsworth 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
A. Montgomery 8 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
S. Spencer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Charles 35 11-20 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 2 1 24 12 -
A. Jones 30 3-15 0-1 2-4 5 3 1 0 1 8 1 -
K. Greene 30 4-11 2-4 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 10 6 -
R. Montgomery 28 4-7 3-3 2-4 3 10 1 0 3 13 17 -
K. Lawson 23 3-6 2-4 4-5 1 2 1 0 1 12 9 -
T. White 20 2-4 1-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 5 8 -
D. McCray 20 3-7 1-3 4-5 4 3 0 0 1 11 10 -
J. Moore 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
K. Griffin 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter