Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -10 (69-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becky Hammon * | 31 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 30 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Ruth Riley * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 25 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Porsha Phillips | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 26 | 0-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 23 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 27 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| LaToya Sanders | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter