Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -4 (85-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 44 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 28 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 43 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 36 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 13 | - |
| Nicky Anosike * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 25 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kerri Gardin | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Victoria Dunlap | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ta'Shia Phillips | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 37 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 34 | 4-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 29 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 16 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| LaToya Sanders | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
* = starter