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2011-07-15

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 37.1% 62.9% -
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% -
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% -

Actual: New York Liberty -9 (59-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jones 29 5-8 1-1 3-4 7 2 0 0 3 14 12 -
T. Charles 29 7-13 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 15 5 -
R. Montgomery 29 5-15 1-8 1-1 5 4 2 0 4 12 4 -
K. Greene 28 2-4 1-2 2-2 4 2 4 0 1 7 12 -
T. White 23 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 3 1 -
K. Lawson 18 3-6 1-3 2-2 3 1 2 0 1 9 8 -
D. McCray 17 2-9 0-3 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 5 -1 -
J. Moore 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -1 -
K. Griffin 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Hightower 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Vaughn 37 6-9 0-0 3-3 9 3 3 1 4 15 18 -
C. Pondexter 34 5-14 1-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 7 11 -4 -
N. Powell 28 5-14 3-8 0-0 6 1 1 0 3 13 4 -
Q. Hollingsworth 26 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 1 1 3 3 -
L. Mitchell 25 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 3 3 -
E. Carson 17 1-8 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -
F. Chester 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
A. Montgomery 14 4-7 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 1 0 10 8 -
S. Spencer 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter