Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -10 (70-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 31 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 31 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 30 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 29 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 27 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Monica Wright | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jessica Adair | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Amber Harris | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charde Houston | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jessica Davenport * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 21 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 18 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter