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2011-07-14

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“
Margin 20.7% 79.3% +7.4 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +3 (69-66). Ratings: 2012 season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 37 4-16 2-7 0-0 4 7 2 0 2 10 5 -
Camille Smith * 33 1-8 0-0 3-7 5 1 1 0 3 5 1 -
Swin Cash * 33 4-10 3-7 2-2 4 0 2 1 6 13 4 -
Tanisha Wright * 29 8-16 2-3 0-0 5 3 2 0 2 18 10 -
Le'coe Willingham * 24 2-3 1-2 2-7 7 2 0 0 3 7 10 -
Katie Smith 23 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 7 5 -
Ashley Robinson 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 2 3 6 11 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 33 4-10 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 4 8 2 -
Becky Hammon * 33 2-10 1-2 0-0 1 9 0 2 2 5 5 -
Scholanda Dorrell * 13 2-6 0-2 0-3 0 0 1 0 1 4 -2 -
Ruth Riley * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 0 2 9 -
Tully Bevilaqua * 12 0-0 0-0 3-4 0 1 2 0 2 3 4 -
Danielle Robinson 27 4-10 0-0 4-4 1 3 1 0 2 12 5 -
Danielle Adams 23 7-13 3-5 6-7 6 0 0 0 1 23 15 -
Jia Perkins 19 1-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 4 0 3 3 5 -
Jayne Appel Marinelli 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 0 4 10 -
Porsha Phillips 9 2-2 0-0 1-4 0 1 0 0 0 5 4 -

* = starter